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Brief
PrediXmarkets
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Market intelligence, condensed. |
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PAID PARTNERSHIP
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REG A+ · NASDAQ $RYSS RESERVED
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Investor briefing · Adjacent AI plays
When SpaceX moves, an entire category lifts.
Investors are scanning for the next AI-driven private name. RYSE has the ticker, the patents, and the revenue. Pre-IPO at $2.50/share, recently up from $2.45.
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A SpaceX IPO would be one of the largest market events in years. When Elon Musk drives attention, money rarely stops at one stock. Tesla pulled capital into batteries, charging, and autonomy. AI pulled it into chips, infrastructure, and robotics.
The next adjacent area is AI inside the home. Window coverings shape how light, heat, and comfort move through every room. 92% of them are still controlled by hand. RYSE is the only company built around retrofitting them with patented robots and AI.
RYSE is still pre-IPO with reserved Nasdaq ticker $RYSS. The Reg A+ round is open at $2.50 per share, recently up from $2.45.
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$15M+
Revenue
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80K+
Devices sold
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100+
Best Buy stores
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10
Patents granted
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Current pre-IPO share price
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$2.50 / share
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Next increase ahead
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~$1,002 minimum · IRA eligible · No lock-up · Bonus shares available
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Bonus shares program
| $2,500 |
+10% bonus shares |
| $10,000 |
+20% · effective $2.08/share |
| $100,000 |
+40% · effective $1.79/share |
| $250,000 |
+50% · effective $1.67/share |
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Read the offering circular and risk disclosures at invest.helloryse.com.
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Important disclosures. This is a paid advertisement for RYSE Inc. made pursuant to a Regulation A+ offering and involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The valuation is set by the Company; there is currently no public market for the Company's Common Stock. Nasdaq ticker "$RYSS" has been reserved by RYSE; any potential listing is subject to future regulatory approval and market conditions. References to SpaceX, Tesla, and Elon Musk describe broader market trends and do not imply any partnership, endorsement, or affiliation with RYSE. SEC qualification does not constitute SEC approval of the merits.
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— THE OPEN
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Brent crude futures fell to $77.22 a barrel on Friday, down nearly 10 percent for the week.
Three months ago that number was above $120.
The war is winding down. The Strait of Hormuz is reopening. Oil is pricing peace.
The Fed is not.
Nine of eighteen dot-plot members still project at least one rate hike by December. On Polymarket, where traders bet real cash on policy outcomes, the odds of a 2026 hike sit at 57 percent with $2.2 million behind them. The oil market has already turned the page. The bond market is still reading the war chapter.
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The Strait reopens. Oil keeps falling.
The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding on Wednesday, extending the ceasefire for 60 days and committing to toll-free passage through the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days. The Strait of Hormuz is the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman through which roughly 20 percent of the world's seaborne oil moves. It has been effectively shut since April.
On Thursday, the U.S. Central Command lifted restrictions on traffic to and from Iranian ports, per Trading Economics. Tankers carrying previously stranded crude began exiting the waterway. Kuwait said it would begin increasing production. Brent has now fallen roughly 38 percent from its April peak and lost nearly 10 percent this week alone. The AAA national gas average is $4.00 a gallon, down from $4.55 in late May but still 34 percent above a year ago.
The oil tape is trading the next chapter. Your gas bill hasn't caught up to it yet.
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Intel surges on Trump's Apple foundry call
President Trump said on Truth Social Thursday morning that Apple has agreed to use Intel's foundry to design and build chips in the United States. Intel shares jumped 10.5 percent to $133.82 shortly after the open, per CBS News. Neither Apple nor Intel has formally confirmed the deal.
The U.S. government owns 10 percent of Intel, a stake Trump brokered last August when the company was valued near $100 billion. He noted Thursday that Intel is now worth roughly $600 billion, putting the government's position at about $60 billion.
A sitting president is publicly touting the return on a government equity stake in a company whose stock just moved 10 percent on his social-media post. The precedent is the trade.
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The Fed held. The dot plot didn't.
The FOMC voted 12-0 to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50 to 3.75 percent on Wednesday, Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair. The hold was unanimous, a sharp pivot from April's 8-4 split. But the dot plot shifted hawkish: 9 of 18 officials now project at least one hike by year-end. The dot plot is the Fed's anonymous survey of where each policymaker expects rates to go. Warsh himself declined to submit a dot, consistent with his long-standing criticism of the tool.
The S&P 500 sold off 1.21 percent on the decision Wednesday, its worst Fed-day drop under a new chair since 1994, per Schwab. Thursday brought a partial recovery: the S&P gained 1.15 percent, the Nasdaq 1.5 percent.
The vote was calm. The forecast was not.
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THE GAP
Oil is pricing the end of the crisis. The Fed is pricing its aftermath.
BRENT CRUDE
Oilprice.com, Jun 19 |
$77.22/bbl |
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FED HIKE IN 2026
Polymarket, $2.2M vol |
57% |
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ZERO CUTS IN 2026
Polymarket, $36M vol |
80% |
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10-YR TREASURY
FRED, Jun 17 close |
4.49% |
Oil has fallen 38 percent from April. The market that sets the price of your mortgage hasn't moved. One of them will have to adjust, and your IRA will know which one first.
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↑ Overnight Up
Intel (INTC, +10.5%)
Nasdaq (+1.5%)
S&P 500 (+1.15%)
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↓ Overnight Down
Brent (~$77, -2.9%)
Gold (~$4,270, -2.5%)
Bitcoin (~$64,200, -1.4%)
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In August 1990, Iraq invaded Kuwait and Brent spiked above $40. By January 1991, the air war had begun. Oil fell. By March it was back near pre-invasion levels.
The Fed did not cut until April. It took the bond market four months to believe what the oil market had priced in four weeks.
The pattern is older than the dentist's IRA: oil leads, rates lag, and the gap between them is where the money sits. The informed act first.
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Today's Quote
“
We will deliver price stability.
— FOMC Statement, June 17, 2026
The full post-meeting statement ran 130 words. This was the only sentence about the destination.
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WORTH WATCHING
Friday, June 19 — Markets closed for Juneteenth. No U.S. equity or bond trading. Futures follow CME holiday schedules.
Next week — Micron (MU) and FedEx (FDX) earnings. Q1 GDP revision and May PCE prices toward month-end. The PCE print is the number the Fed watches most closely for inflation.
60-day clock — The Iran memorandum starts a negotiation window. Full Hormuz reopening is promised within 30 days. Every tanker that clears the Strait pushes Brent lower and the inflation argument weaker.
Three lenses will read the same calendar differently next week. Polymarket will price the hike odds against every data point. CME futures will price the oil glut the IEA just warned about. The sell-side consensus will decide whether the war premium is gone or just hiding.
Read those three numbers again on Monday morning. By then, someone will have moved.
— The PrediXmarkets desk
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
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